In the summer of 2008 the price of oil were near $145. At that point in time XLE (XOM and friends) was trading near $90.
XLE is now trading the $80 level. Back in 2008 that $80 level in XLE represented a price of oil of about $130.
Riddle me this. The price of oil is currently at $102 and XLE is at $80.
Technically XLE should be trading near $60 .. not $80.
We know that XLE is way overbought and getting close to that .786 fib retracement near $80.
Above all .. it's way overvalued vis à vis the price of oil !
At some point there will be a dramatic adjustment and that when DUG (Double short XLE) will make a killing !